CHICAGO, ILLINOIS – SEPTEMBER 08: Justin Jefferson #18 of the Minnesota Vikings jumps to catch a pass while under pressure during the game against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field on September 08, 2025 in Chicago, Illinois. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images)
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It’s Week 2, and well, Week 1 was interesting. Far from being below-average scoring, thanks to a few teams, that narrative was blown out of the water…and note to self…never doubt Ben Johnson again. The Chicago Bears only scored 59 points in their win over the Carolina Panthers. It was the highest-scoring Week 1 game in NFL history. The New Orleans Saints and Detroit Lions played overtime only to have the Lions win on a missed two-point conversion attempt, 31-30, and the Green Bay Packers blew a 21-point lead to lose to the Carson Wentz-led Minnesota Vikings 22-39.
The question is, is this scoring frenzy a trend or an aberration? As we head into Week 2, Vegas would have us believe the latter.
On the main slate, there are three games that meet our scoring threshold: Washington Commanders at Dallas Cowboys,-4.5, 50.5; the Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears, -4.5, 47.5; and the New Orleans Saints at Baltimore Ravens, -8.5, 46.5.
Then there are quietly balancing on the could-be, maybe a shootout: Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos, -2.5, 45.5 (just an aside if anyone saw the Jags and Broncos play last week explain to me how the Broncos are favored in this game); the Niners are predicted to have the highest team total (35.75) this week in what is a 13.5 spread against the Miami Dolphins; and Bryce Young goes into the Mercedes-Benz Stadium on a field and a team he seemingly owns in a game that has the Panthers a 2.5-point favorite and an over/under 43.5.
So let’s get to it.
Recap
CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA – SEPTEMBER 13: Jalen Coker #18 of the Carolina Panthers makes a reception during the game against the Chicago Bears at Bank of America Stadium on September 13, 2026 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Jared C. Tilton/Getty Images)
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Last week it was important just to go. The MilliMaker was won with 273.98 points:
QB J. Love, 24.48 points, 1.72% drafted
RB J. Gibbs, 37.60 points, 42.75% drafted
RB D. Henry, 38.30 points, 9.28% drafted
WR C.Watson, 35.70 points, 4.35% drafted
WR D. Moore, 24.00 points, 4.43% drafted
WR J. Cooker, 36.80 points, 7.45% drafted
TE D. Goedert, 23.70 points, 10.08% drafted
Flex D. Swift, 35.40 points, 9.75% drafted
DST Steelers, 18.00 points, 10.86% drafted
Thoughts
Although they correlated QB-WR, there was no bring-back on the Minnesota side. The only other correlation was RB/WR in the Chicago-Carolina game. The rest of the players were one-offs who exceeded their projections and were, for the most part, under 10% drafted.
A cash game single entry (double-up)was won with 226.60 points.
QB T. Shough, 29.20 points, 13.78% drafted
RB J. Gibbs, 37.60 points, 80.99% drafted
RB D. Swift, 35.40 points, 6.44% drafted
WR A. St. Brown, 28.70 points, 39.57% drafted
WR P. Washington, 19.30 points, 4.81% drafted
WR J. Coker, 36.80 points, 2.99% drafted
TE J. Johnson, 14.40 points, 33.14% drafted
Flex L. McConkey, 19.20 points, 9.92% drafted
DST Bears, 6.00 points, 1.18% drafted
Thoughts
Four players did not exceed their projection/cost point: Washington, Johnson, McConkey, and the Bears. Utilization of the game environment was more evident: QB-WR-TE/RB-WR in the Saints/Lions game, which was the second-highest total game. And the RB/WR in the highest-scoring game on the slate.
Best Stacks
For the best sacks, we are seeking out the best game environment. If one team pushes, can another team follow? Or do we have a team that will keep pushing even if they get ahead?
QB D.Prescott $6400 + RB J. Williams $6400+ WR C. Lamb $7300 +WR R. Flournoy $3800/ WR S. Diggs $5300
This lineup leaves you with $5200 for the three (3) remaining positions.
ARLINGTON, TEXAS – SEPTEMBER 28: Dak Prescott #4 of the Dallas Cowboys congratulates Javonte Williams #33 of the Dallas Cowboys after Williams scored a touchdown against the Green Bay Packers during the fourth quarter in the game at AT&T Stadium on September 28, 2025 in Arlington, Texas. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
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Washington’s defense pressured Jalen Hurts on 9.4% of his dropbacks last week. It resulted in 18 pressures and three sacks. And while they held Saquon Barkley to 83 yards, half of those yards (42) were on one run. That is one of the five explosive plays the Commanders’ defense allowed, including a 64-yard catch by Dontayvion Wicks.
Last season, the Cowboys’ defense gave up the most rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks. Their issues with mobile quarterbacks continued in Week1 as Jaxon Dart averaged 4.9 yards per carry, gathering 54 yards on 11 attempts.
The Cowboys’ 44.4% blitz rate resulted in 11 pressures and two sacks.
QB C. Wentz $4600 + WR J. Jefferson $7800 + WR J. Addison $5100/ WR L. Burden $5700 + TE C. Loveland $5000
MINNEAPOLIS, MN. – SEPTEMBER 2025: Minnesota Vikings quarterback Carson Wentz (11) looks to throw to Vikings wide receiver Justin Jefferson (18) for a first down during the first quarter as the Vikings take on the Bengals at US Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, Minn. on Sunday, September 21, 2025. (Photo by Elizabeth Flores/The Minnesota Star Tribune via Getty Images)
Star Tribune via Getty Images
This lineup leaves you $5450 for the remaining four positions.
This game has the widest possible outcome. Ben Johnson has had good outings against Brian Flores’ defenses. If that happens this week, the Vikings will be pushed to match the offensive outings.
The Chicago Bears defense: In Week 1 collected 16 QB hurries, 22 pressures, two sacks, and an interception. They also allowed Bryce Young to throw for 361 passing yards with three passing touchdowns and one rushing touchdown. Their EPA allowed per play of +0.18 ranks 26th for the week.
Caleb Williams in 2025 faced Brian Flores’ defense in Weeks 1 and 11. In Week 1, he faced 16 pressures on a 37.2% blitz rate. Williams went 21-of-35, 210 yards, 1 touchdown, and zero interceptions. In Week 11, he was blitzed 66.7% with 14 pressures. Williams finished 21-of-29, 269 yards, two passing touchdowns, and two rushing touchdowns.
QB T. Lawrence $5800 + RB B.Tuten $5800/ WR J. Waddle $6500
This mini stack allows you to double up on other games.
DENVER, CO – DECEMBER 21: Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars runs with the football past D.J. Jones #93 of the Denver Broncos during the first quarter at Empower Field at Mile High on December 21, 2025 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
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You have $5350 for the remaining six positions.
It’s early, but after Week 1, the Jaguars looked impressive, and the Broncos looked lost. The Broncos’ defense had 28 missed tackles. They allowed Kenneth Walker to average 7.5 yards per carry while amassing 173 yards, including a 60-yard touchdown run.
The Jaguars’ defense pressured Deshaun Watson 44.8% (fourth-most for the week), collected five sacks, one interception, and one forced fumble.
One-Offs or Contrarian
These lineup suggestions do not depend on the game environment but instead focus on high-ceiling potential.
QB B. Young $5400 + WR T. McMillan $6100
ATLANTA, GEORGIA – NOVEMBER 16: Bryce Young #9 of the Carolina Panthers interacts with Atlanta Falcons running back Bijan Robinson (7) after the NFL 2025 game between Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on November 16, 2025 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kara Durrette/Getty Images)
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This leaves you with $5500 for the remaining seven positions.
Young has consistently played well in Mercedes-Benz Stadium and seemingly owns the Atlanta Falcons. The only question is, who is he bringing with him?
For his career, he is 4-1 against the Falcons. In the game in Atlanta last year, he was 31-of-45, 448 yards, with three passing touchdowns and zero interceptions. For his career against the Falcons, he has averaged 226.6 passing yards with seven touchdowns and two interceptions.
QB G.Smith $4800 + RB B. Hall $6200/ WR C. Watson $6200
EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ – SEPTEMBER 22: Quarterback Geno Smith #7 of the New York Jets looks to pass against the Buffalo Bills during the fourthd quarter in a game at MetLife Stadium on September 22, 2013 in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Jets defeated the Bills 27-20. (Photo by Rich Schultz /Getty Images)
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This lineup leaves you with $5467 for the remaining five positions.
Jets played 13 personnel (three tight ends) 17.5% of the time last week ( 5th most) and ran 72.7% of the time out of this formation (ninth-highest rate).
The Jets’ defense had the third-highest blitz rate (46.2%), a pressure rate of 38.5%, and finished with five quarterback hits and three sacks.
Jordan Love has a 53.8% completion rate when pressured and a 51.5% completion percentage when blitzed.
QB J. Herbert $6000 + WR Q. Johnston $5000 + WR T. Harris $4000/ RB A. Genty $6800 +WR T. Tucker $4500
This lineup leaves you $5925 for the remaining four positions.
LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – SEPTEMBER 15: Justin Herbert #10 of the Los Angeles Chargers throws a pass against the Las Vegas Raiders during the second quarter at Allegiant Stadium on September 15, 2025 in Las Vegas, Nevada. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images)
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Check the status of Ladd McConkey before finalizing any lineup with the Chargers.
DraftKings Main Slate
Remember to keep an eye out for last-minute injuries, and it’s fall, so weather starts to become a factor.
Good Luck and Play Nice.

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